Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.651293 0.743179 0.843184 0.960085 1.092976 1.239340 1.412775
2025-03-30 0.491751 0.613237 0.757277 0.940569 1.167578 1.439523 1.790162
2025-04-06 0.400289 0.531630 0.697093 0.920676 1.214863 1.588786 2.100449
2025-04-13 0.332393 0.464873 0.640277 0.889245 1.233455 1.692639 2.352207
2025-04-20 0.308188 0.450663 0.647549 0.939100 1.359705 1.944589 2.820430
2025-04-27 0.287050 0.436858 0.651970 0.982817 1.478621 2.194123 3.306130
2025-05-04 0.267963 0.422986 0.653529 1.020606 1.590143 2.440320 3.807157
2025-05-11 0.246126 0.401955 0.641373 1.035055 1.665892 2.637583 4.249636
2025-05-18 0.219458 0.370087 0.608740 1.013254 1.681433 2.741474 4.552833
2025-05-25 0.198294 0.344676 0.583420 0.999832 1.707625 2.862140 4.890538
2025-06-01 0.182099 0.325739 0.566526 0.998032 1.751593 3.013459 5.289456
2025-06-08 0.169005 0.310699 0.554519 1.002879 1.806300 3.185679 5.736545
2025-06-15 0.157761 0.298100 0.546005 1.013819 1.874010 3.388242 6.259350
2025-06-22 0.142838 0.277295 0.521019 0.992796 1.882555 3.487775 6.607022
2025-06-29 0.129641 0.258321 0.497447 0.971806 1.888548 3.581984 6.951241
2025-07-06 0.116364 0.237807 0.468997 0.938650 1.868038 3.624580 7.200202
2025-07-13 0.114720 0.240078 0.484181 0.991241 2.017143 3.998078 8.117652
2025-07-20 0.112303 0.240502 0.495685 1.037354 2.157109 4.364652 9.051677
2025-07-27 0.109283 0.239348 0.503841 1.077215 2.287560 4.722349 9.997051
2025-08-03 0.103979 0.232811 0.500356 1.092456 2.368242 4.985979 10.770125
2025-08-10 0.095560 0.218687 0.479754 1.069460 2.366141 5.079331 11.192556
2025-08-17 0.088678 0.207298 0.463944 1.055303 2.381517 5.209730 11.704013
2025-08-24 0.083401 0.199023 0.454137 1.053404 2.423279 5.398849 12.358003